US EditionIMD Revises Upward Monsoon Forecast to 106% of Long-Period Average, Likely Boost to Rural Economy
- The southwest monsoon arrived over Kerala on May 24, 2025, representing its earliest appearance since 2009, and on the same day, it also progressed into Mizoram, arriving 12 days earlier than usual.
- This early onset followed favorable large-scale conditions including a depression over the Arabian Sea and a low-pressure area over the Bay of Bengal, which facilitated rapid monsoon progression.
- The India Meteorological Department revised its June-September rainfall forecast upward to 106% of the long-period average, expecting above-normal rains that aid sowing of kharif crops despite some early crop damage and supply disruptions.
- IMD director general Mrutyunjay Mahapatra stated the forecast includes a model error of plus or minus 4% and emphasized that consistent rainfall distribution will be critical for a successful monsoon season.
- Above-Normal rainfall could enhance agricultural output and rural demand, supporting economic growth and easing inflation, while authorities urge caution on heat and flood risks and recommend strengthening response strategies.
16 Articles
16 Articles
Why monsoon came knocking sooner than expected? Breaking down it's early onset this year
The southwest monsoon made an early onset over Kerala on May 24, 2025, marking its earliest arrival since 2009 and eight days ahead of the typical June 1 onset date. The India Meteorological Department (IMD) confirmed the onset, noting that the monsoon also advanced into parts of northeast India, including Mizoram, on the same day. Several meteorological factors contributed to this early onset: Enhanced Cross-Equatorial Winds: Stronger-than-usu…
IMD revises upward monsoon forecast to 106% of long-period average, likely boost to rural economy
A good rainfall would not only give a boost to the agrarian economy but also percolates down to building strong rural demand, which positively impacts a host of sectors including fast moving consumer goods.
India to see above-normal monsoon rainfall in 2025, says IMD
India is likely to receive more rainfall than usual during the monsoon season from June to September. The India Meteorological Department (IMD) said the country may get 106% of the Long Period Average (LPA), up from last month’s estimate of 105%. Rainfall is also expected to be higher than normal in June. The IMD said rainfall could reach 108% of the LPA this month. This means the country could see more than 87 cm of rain, which is considered th…
IMD releases forecast for 2025 monsoon season, country likely to receive more than normal rainfall
The India Meteorological Department (IMD) has released an updated forecast for the 2025 southwest monsoon season (June to September), predicting above-normal rainfall across the country. According to the Meteorological Department, the total monsoon rainfall this year is likely to be 106% of the long-term average (LPA), with an error margin of ±4%. The Meteorological Department said that the monsoon reached Kerala on May 24, which was earlier tha…
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