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Labour Faces Three-Way Contest in Manchester By-Election Amid Rising Reform and Green Support

Labour, Greens, and Reform UK are nearly tied in a by-election seen as a critical test of Prime Minister Keir Starmer's leadership, with Labour's previous 13,000-vote majority at risk.

  • Polling in the northwest England district opened Thursday, with the three-way contest triggered by former Labour MP Andrew Gwynne's resignation and featuring Angeliki Stogia.
  • The Labour National Executive Committee blocked Andy Burnham from standing and selected Angeliki Stogia as its candidate, exposing internal party tensions and Starmer's control, as sources said.
  • Demographic splits across Gorton and Denton shaped targeted campaigning by Greens and Reform, with Gorton wards close to majority Muslim and Denton wards over 80% white; Reform UK targets white working-class voters while Hannah Spencer, 34-year-old Green candidate, appeals to the 28% Muslim population.
  • A Labour win would give Sir Keir Starmer breathing space and blunt internal opponents, with polls closing at 10pm and results due early Friday.
  • The result could signal a wider realignment as Labour's coalition fragments, with Keir Starmer's 2024 coalition weakening and voters backing Reform UK and the Green Party on immigration, cost of living, and Gaza.
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101 Articles

Lean Right

The government of Prime Minister Starmer has lost enormous popularity since the election victory in July 2024. Labour is now losing an election in a former stronghold of the party.

·Düsseldorf, Germany
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Center

Great Britain's Prime Minister Starmer is under pressure. The whole country looks at a regional by-election: there his Labour party is in the polls immediately with the right-wing populists of Reform UK and the Greens. By C. Prössl.

·Hamburg, Germany
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Bias Distribution

  • 37% of the sources lean Left, 37% of the sources are Center
37% Center

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Full Fact broke the news in on Tuesday, February 24, 2026.
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