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JD or Marco?’: Iran war raises 2028 stakes as Trump weighs Vance vs. Rubio

Polling shows 79% of Republicans view Vance favorably and 71% view Rubio favorably as Trump weighs their postwar political standing.

  • As the war in Iran threatens his legacy, President Donald Trump is privately weighing 2028 succession options, forcing a choice between Vice President JD Vance and Secretary of State Marco Rubio.
  • At a televised Cabinet meeting on Thursday, March 26, contrasting approaches emerged: Rubio gave a "full-throated defense" of the military campaign, while Vance focused on options for depriving Iran of a nuclear weapon.
  • Polling shows strong support for both: 79 per cent of Republicans view Vance favorably, while 71 per cent view Rubio positively, though analysts warn the ongoing conflict could impact their 2028 prospects.
  • Republican strategist Ron Bonjean warned that "Trump has a long memory," creating potential risks for Vance regarding his past anti-war skepticism, while Rubio has aligned closely with Trump's hawkish stance.
  • The White House has rejected claims that Trump is signaling a preference, while sources indicate Vance will wait until after November's midterm elections to decide on a 2028 run, with Rubio expressing willingness to serve as his running mate.
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Vance and Rubio's differing postures on Iran war highlight their challenges ahead of 2028 election

Secretary of State Marco Rubio and Vice President JD Vance are both seen as the Republican Party’s strongest potential candidates in the next presidential election, but the Iran war could prove to be a political millstone for them.

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Adevarul broke the news in Romania on Sunday, March 29, 2026.
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