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Japan’s economy grows at an annualized 2.1% rate in the first quarter, beating expectations

Private consumption and business spending helped Japan beat forecasts, while the Bank of Japan warned higher oil prices could slow growth.

  • On Tuesday, May 19, 2026, the Cabinet Office reported Japan's economy grew at an annualized 2.1% rate in the first quarter, surpassing the 1.7% median market forecast.
  • This growth preceded the full impact of an energy shock triggered when Iran effectively shut the Strait of Hormuz on February 28, sending oil prices soaring toward nearly $110 a barrel.
  • Robust domestic demand fueled the expansion, as private consumption and capital expenditure each rose 0.3% quarter-on-quarter, while net external demand added 0.3 percentage points to growth.
  • The Bank of Japan subsequently warned that rising crude oil prices would weigh on corporate profits and household incomes, cutting its fiscal 2026 growth forecast to 0.5% and raising inflation expectations to 2.8%.
  • Shigeto Nagai, head of Japan economics at Oxford Economics, cautioned that Japan could face a "very light stagflation-like situation" this year, as the economy navigates stagnant growth and inflation above 2%.
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Right

Japanese GDP rose by 2.1 per cent annually, compared with the average estimate of 1.7 per cent and 1.3 per cent in the previous quarter. In this quarter of 2026, GDP grew by 0.5 per cent, slightly exceeding consensus forecasts (0.4 per cent quarterly) and accelerating against the previous 0.2 per cent. The latest macroeconomic data show that the Japanese economy maintains moderate growth, supported, among other things, by the strength of exports…

Lean Right

The economy of Japan, the world's third-largest, grew more strongly than expected in the first quarter of 2026. The growth was driven by strong exports and domestic consumption. However, the growth figure does not yet reflect the full impact of the war in the Middle East, which began in late February.

The Seattle TimesThe Seattle Times
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The Hamilton SpectatorThe Hamilton Spectator
Lean Left

Japan’s economy expands at a 2.1% annual pace, boosted by consumer spending

Japan has reported its economy expanded at an annualized rate of 2.1% in the January-March quarter.

·Seattle, United States
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Associated Press NewsAssociated Press News
+6 Reposted by 6 other sources
Lean Left

Japan's economy expands at a 2.1% annual pace, boosted by consumer spending

Japan has reported its economy expanded at an annualized rate of 2.1% in the January-March quarter. Government data released Tuesday show Japan’s real gross domestic product, or GDP, grew 0.5% from the previous quarter.

·United States
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FXStreet broke the news on Monday, May 18, 2026.
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