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Israel's Ben-Gvir poised for election gains as young voters turn to right-wing

Voters are weighing a state inquiry into the Oct. 7 attack as Netanyahu faces criticism over security failures and a tight race with Gadi Eisenkot.

  • Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu faces a tight race against challenger Gadi Eisenkot in next week's election, with polling showing a close contest between Netanyahu's Likud party and the centrist Yashar!.
  • Netanyahu, Israel's longest-serving prime minister, faces accusations of mismanaging security failures preceding the Oct. 7, 2023 attack and is fighting legal scandals involving fraud, breach of trust, and bribery charges.
  • Eisenkot, 66, resigned from Netanyahu's war cabinet after eight months, accusing the prime minister of lacking a clear strategy; the general formulated the "Dahiyeh Doctrine" military strategy.
  • National Security Minister Itamar Ben-Gvir advocates for rebuilding settlements and what he says would be the "voluntary" emigration of roughly 2 million Palestinians from Gaza, while Ra'am leader Mansour Abbas, 52, focuses on local issues to court coalition partners.
  • No single party has ever won a majority in the 120-member Knesset, necessitating complex coalition building; if successful, Eisenkot could become the first Israeli prime minister of Mizrahi descent.
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  • 42% of the sources lean Right
42% Right

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Crisis Group broke the news in Brussels, Belgium on Thursday, October 15, 2026.
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