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Rumbling Borders: Armenia and Azerbaijan's Strained Peace Prospects

  • In May 2025, Armenia and Azerbaijan attended the European Political Community summit in Tirana, where leaders briefly met amid ongoing tensions in the South Caucasus.
  • This meeting followed a period marked by the 2023 retaking of Nagorno-Karabakh by Azerbaijan and rising ceasefire violations, which fueled fears of renewed conflict.
  • Efforts to demarcate the 1,000 km closed border and a 2026 peace treaty draft aim to resolve disputes, while the EPC framework offers a platform for dialogue without loss of face.
  • Azerbaijan’s population advantage of 10 million, strategic leverage, and denial of cross-border gunfire contrast with Armenia’s calls for peace and recognition of Azerbaijan’s territorial integrity.
  • Despite these measures, experts warn that rising tensions and Azerbaijani demands for transit corridors risk new clashes, making the peace process fragile and uncertain.
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Denver GazetteDenver Gazette
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The Straits TimesThe Straits Times
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In Armenia, rising ceasefire violations bring fears of war with Azerbaijan

By Felix Light

·Denver, United States
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Armenia expects to sign a peace agreement with Azerbaijan by the end of this year. This is currently one of Yerevan's goals. This was stated by Armenian Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan, RBK-Ukraine reports with reference to Armenpress. According to Pashinyan, Azerbaijan wants to discuss the possibility of dissolving the negotiating structures that were created in the format of the OSCE Minsk Group. Such an agenda is acceptable for Armenia. "But t…

This is reported by Armenpress.He made this statement during the GLOBSEC 2025 forum in Prague. “Azerbaijan raises the issue of dissolving the structures of the OSCE Minsk Group, and in general this is an acceptable agenda for us. But there is a very important nuance: we must be sure that the situation is excluded when the page of the conflict closes on the territory of Azerbaijan, but turns into new claims on the territory of Armenia,” the Prime…

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Denver Gazette broke the news in Denver, United States on Thursday, June 12, 2025.
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