Tropical Low May Form Increasing Florida's Flood Threat - Tracking Impact Afternoon & Strong Storms
FLORIDA, UNITED STATES, JUL 13 – The low-pressure system poses a 20% chance of tropical development and may cause 2 to 4 inches of rain with localized flash flooding risks, officials said.
- On Sunday morning, the National Hurricane Center reported a low-pressure system near Florida with roughly a one-in-five likelihood of forming into a tropical cyclone within the next week.
- This disturbance formed amid warm Gulf waters in the middle 80s and overlaid tropical moisture pushing into Florida, prompting continued monitoring for potential tropical organization next week.
- The system is expected to slide across Florida Monday into Tuesday, bringing widespread showers and storms that could produce localized flash flooding, especially in flood-prone and low-lying areas.
- Forecast models predict rainfall totals between 2 and 5 inches, with gusty winds and the potential for localized flash flooding as the main hazards. Additionally, NOAA forecasts the 2025 hurricane season to be more active than average.
- The system has a low probability of developing into a named storm, which would be designated Tropical Storm Dexter if it does, but the main impact through the workweek is expected to be heavy rainfall leading to localized flooding in vulnerable areas.
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13 Articles
Drier start to the week, Potential tropical trouble in the Gulf late week
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Surge of tropical moisture this week leads to higher rain chances
There haven't been significant changes in the tropical outlook since yesterday. A trough of low pressure is located near the southeast coast, leading to disorganized showers and thunderstorms in the region. This system is expected to move westward across Florida and into the northern Gulf over the next couple of days. Gradual development of this system is possible later in the week. Regardless, a surge of tropical moisture will move into Louisia…

Hurricane center keeps forecasting potential system near Florida
The National Hurricane Center continued Sunday to predict a system could develop near Florida this week that could develop into the season’s next tropical depression or storm. As of the NHC’s 8 a.m. tropical outlook, forecasters said a trough of low pressure is likely to form near the southeastern U.S. coast in the next day or two and then move west across the Florida peninsula and into the Gulf by Tuesday. “Environmental conditions could suppor…
Rain to drench South Florida as potential Gulf system nears: forecasters
South Florida will see a soggy start to its week due to a potential tropical system that is forecast to form in the Gulf and then move across Florida, the National Weather Service said Sunday.
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