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Tropical Low May Form Increasing Florida's Flood Threat - Tracking Impact Afternoon & Strong Storms

FLORIDA, UNITED STATES, JUL 13 – The low-pressure system poses a 20% chance of tropical development and may cause 2 to 4 inches of rain with localized flash flooding risks, officials said.

  • On Sunday morning, the National Hurricane Center reported a low-pressure system near Florida with roughly a one-in-five likelihood of forming into a tropical cyclone within the next week.
  • This disturbance formed amid warm Gulf waters in the middle 80s and overlaid tropical moisture pushing into Florida, prompting continued monitoring for potential tropical organization next week.
  • The system is expected to slide across Florida Monday into Tuesday, bringing widespread showers and storms that could produce localized flash flooding, especially in flood-prone and low-lying areas.
  • Forecast models predict rainfall totals between 2 and 5 inches, with gusty winds and the potential for localized flash flooding as the main hazards. Additionally, NOAA forecasts the 2025 hurricane season to be more active than average.
  • The system has a low probability of developing into a named storm, which would be designated Tropical Storm Dexter if it does, but the main impact through the workweek is expected to be heavy rainfall leading to localized flooding in vulnerable areas.
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arcamax.com broke the news in on Sunday, July 13, 2025.
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