Government Shutdown Prediction Odds Spike to 80%

Government Shutdown Prediction Odds Spike to 80%

Prediction markets are signaling a sharply increased risk of a U.S. government shutdown as federal funding deadlines loom and partisan disputes deepen. Traders now place roughly 75–80% odds that a shutdown will begin as early as this weekend, reflecting heightened political tension and legislative gridlock in Washington. Prediction market platforms Kalshi and Polymarket show traders wagering millions of dollars on the likelihood of a government …

U.S. Government Shutdown 2026 Odds Spike to 76%, Crypto at Risk

U.S. government shutdown odds jump to 76.5% as Senate funding vote nears, raising volatility risks for Bitcoin and the broader crypto market.