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GOP beats down key budget office over tax plan projections

  • Donald Trump and House Republicans are challenging the Congressional Budget Office's tax plan projections as they push a bill to extend and expand the 2017 tax cuts in 2025.
  • The GOP critiques stem from CBO and Joint Committee on Taxation estimates showing minimal economic growth and a multi-trillion-dollar budget shortfall, despite disagreements on growth assumptions.
  • Economic data from 2018 and forecasts by Goldman Sachs and other institutions suggest the GOP's expected growth boost is unrealistically high and insufficient to offset the tax cuts' cost.
  • Republican leaders, such as Mike Johnson, accuse the CBO of systematically underestimating growth and argue for a 3 percent growth rate that would offset deficits, a view contested by most economists including Marty Sullivan.
  • If enacted without offsets, the GOP tax plan could increase the national debt by over $5.5 trillion over ten years, while critics warn it shifts benefits to higher earners at the expense of social programs and state revenues.
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The Hill broke the news in Washington, United States on Monday, June 2, 2025.
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