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Gemini Prepares to Offer Prediction Market Contracts: Bloomberg

Gemini seeks to enter the expanding US prediction market sector after raising $425 million in its IPO, aiming to compete with established platforms like Kalshi and Polymarket.

  • On Tuesday, Gemini exchange applied to the US Commodity Futures Trading Commission to create a designated contract market and plans event contracts for economic, financial, political and sports forecasts, Bloomberg reported.
  • Industry entrants including Coinbase, Robinhood and CME Group are signalling broader interest in prediction markets as Kalshi is registered and Polymarket considers reopening in the US soon.
  • A Needham analyst said Gemini's plans expand its product scope, while James Newman, Chief Corporate Affairs Officer at Chiliz, told Cryptonews the launch signals growing blockchain-based fan engagement adoption.
  • If approved, Gemini would enter competition with Kalshi and Polymarket, but the US derivatives regulator can take months or years to approve and the recent government shutdown may delay the process.
  • Gemini's strong $425 million September IPO gives it resources to expand into new products, and sources say the exchange aims to launch products as soon as possible while balancing sustainability and responsibility.
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Bloomberg broke the news in United States on Tuesday, November 4, 2025.
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