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Record debt and election politics raise stakes for French budget
Prime Minister Sebastien Lecornu is seeking structural savings as France faces debt pressure, widening bond yields and a budget fight before the presidential election.
Prime Minister Sebastien Lecornu's government launched the 2027 budget season, pledging "structural savings" rather than new taxes to manage the deficit in a hung parliament.
With debt currently at around 117pc of output, the government warned it will be difficult to deliver a reduction in the deficit to 5pc of economic output from 5.1pc in 2025 as the Iran war drags on growth and fuels inflation.
French 10-year bond yields surged above 4pc for the first time in nearly two decades, while investors demand a premium of around 88 basis points over German equivalents, signaling market anxiety over France's fiscal trajectory.
Hard-Left leader Jean-Luc Melenchon proposes canceling debt held by the central bank, while far-right veteran Marine Le Pen advocates lowering the retirement age to 60, representing starkly different fiscal directions ahead of April elections.
Credit rating agencies begin updating views on Friday with Fitch, which downgraded France's credit score to A+ a year ago, as analysts warn that failing to pass a budget before elections could weaken market confidence.