Flavio Bolsonaro, Lula about even ahead of Brazil election runoff, CNT/MDA poll shows
- On Thursday, a Datafolha poll showed Brazilian Senator Flávio Bolsonaro and President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva tied at 50% of valid votes ahead of the October 25 runoff election.
- Datafolha's latest survey indicates a tightening race, as Flávio Bolsonaro's previous 51% lead has eroded to a tie within a week after he led Lula in the first-round vote earlier this month.
- In raw totals, Bolsonaro received 47% and Lula 46%, with 5% of respondents intending to cast blank or null votes and 2% remaining undecided, the poll showed.
- Voters will decide the presidency on Sunday, October 25, when the winner assumes office for a four-year term in a race that remains a statistical tie.
- Prediction markets Polymarket and Kalshi give Bolsonaro a 78% and 79% chance of winning, respectively, as of Thursday evening, contrasting with the polling dead heat.
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98 Articles
Flavio Bolsonaro would come back to the head with 51% of the valid votes on Lula stopped at 49%. The last survey of Datafolha, the same organization that last Thursday had given the two candidates perfectly paired, 50 to 50. (ANSA)
Index of voters who claim not to vote in any way in the senator and the president remained high
São Paulo, Oct 24 (EFE).- Brazil, the largest economy in Latin America, is playing its future this Sunday in the second round of the presidential elections, in which will be measured the president Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva and the opposition senator Flávio Bolsonaro. Almost 159 million Brazilians are called to the polls to elect the next head of state, who will assume power on January 5, 2027. The voting centers will be open for nine hours, from…
The candidates for the presidency of Brazil, Flavio Bolsonaro and Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva, who seeks his fourth term, arrive technically tied to the second round of the elections this Sunday. The leader of the radical right and the leader of the Brazilian left will contest the vote in the most contested vote in national history, fighting especially for 48 million votes, which is the sum of the abstentionists, null and indecisive of the first r…
The survey is based on 3,000 face-to-face interviews conducted on Friday 23
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- 40% of the sources lean Right
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