US EditionEsequibo, Gray Rhino or Isolated Geopolitical Exception?
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The well-known specialist in prospective studies, Nicholas Taleb, has developed a series of concepts to try to understand the events “carrying for the future” so that the forecasts do not respond to a simple hunch or a belief in crystal balls. To him is the notion “black swans” to designate entirely new events, of high impact, that the human being by his ignorance cannot imagine and that, therefore, only succeeds in explaining a posteriori. Tale…
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