Tracking the Retirement Announcements of Members of Congress
Polling shows Democrats leading by up to 16 points amid redistricting battles and 12 GOP retirements in toss-up seats, increasing chances to flip the House in 2026 midterms.
- On November 3, 2026 the midterms will decide control of the U.S. House, with Democrats leading current generic-ballot measures and facing a 220 to 213 GOP margin.
- President Donald Trump’s falling approval this month and mid-decade redistricting in several states including Texas, Missouri, North Carolina, California, and Utah have reshaped competitive districts.
- Polling firms differ, with Fabrizio Ward showing Democrats leading 45 to 38, YouGov and The Economist 43 to 40, and Quantus Insights 43 to 41 among registered voters.
- Two dozen Republican House members have resigned or plan to retire, creating 12 GOP-held and 5 Democratic-held toss-up seats amid 43 House departures and 10 senators leaving.
- DCCC spokesperson Viet Shelton said voters are `souring` on Republicans, and candidates will spend the coming year making their cases as polls intensify.
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30 Articles
Tracking the retirement announcements of members of Congress
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