Polymarket Odds on U.S. Military Action Against Iran Slide as Trump Team Proposes Tehran Talks

Polymarket Odds on U.S. Military Action Against Iran Slide as Trump Team Proposes Tehran Talks

Odds of U.S. military strike against Iran before July slide.

War cannot be ruled out – Grey Enlightenment

Polymarket as of 6/17/2025 is giving a 58% chance of “US military action against Iran before July,” where this is defined as: For the purposes of this market, a “military action” will be considered to be any use of force executed by the US military on Iranian soil, airspace, or maritime territory (e.g. if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an the US missile, this market will resolve to “Yes”) that is officially acknowledged by the the US …

CoinStats - Polymarket Bets on U.S. Strike Against Iran S...

As geopolitical tensions in the Middle East escalate, traders on Polymarket, the decentralized prediction market, have been closely wagering on a possible U.S. military strike against Iran before the end of June. On Monday, June 16, the odds of such a strike spiked to 67%, reflecting heightened anxieties over military escalation. However, the figure has […]