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IMF Raises China Growth Forecast to 5% for 2025, Citing Resilience

The IMF raised China's 2025 GDP growth forecast to 5%, citing economic resilience and stimulus measures while advising a shift to consumption-led growth.

The assessment is up from October’s forecast, with the fund citing government stimulus and lower tariffs as drivers.

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IMF revises up China growth forecast for 2025 on policy support

·China
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Beijing, December 10 (Xinhua) — The International Monetary Fund (IMF) on Wednesday raised its forecast for China's economic growth in 2025 to 5 percent year-on-year, up 0.2 percent from its previous estimate in October. The update followed the conclusion of the IMF's 2025 Article IV consultation mission to China. An IMF team, led by the Head of Mission to China, Sonali Jain-Chandra, conducted visits to Beijing and Shanghai from December 1 to 10,…

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South China Morning Post broke the news in Hong Kong on Wednesday, December 10, 2025.
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