'Chances Remain High for a Historic Event': El Niño Is Strengthening, Forecasters Warn
The WMO said 13 meteorological centers agree the event could rank among the strongest since 1950 and persist through February 2027.
- On Thursday, the World Meteorological Organization confirmed El Niño is firmly established and strengthening rapidly, with nearly 100% certainty it will persist through February 2027.
- WMO Secretary General Celeste Saulo told the Global Heat Forum in Bangkok that the ocean is "the warmest we've ever measured it," releasing stored heat and making more energy available for the event.
- Sea-Surface temperatures in the tropical Pacific are forecast to reach a record 3.7 degrees Celsius above normal from October-November-December, significantly exceeding the previous 2.6°C record set in 2015-2016.
- Researchers at the University of Chicago's Climate Impact Lab predict this "super-El Niño" could result in 451,000 excess deaths globally, while increasing risks of drought and floods through shifted rainfall patterns.
- Dubbed a "Godzilla" El Niño in Indonesia, the event could rank among the strongest observed since 1950, with WMO forecasts indicating further intensification before the anticipated December peak.
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234 Articles
The Pacific overheats and El Niño looks out of standard. After a record at +4.0°C in September, the Japanese agency is planning to maintain it until winter, while the World Meteorological Organization is planning to...
El Niño has strengthened to strongest on record, Japan weather agency says
Increasing ocean heat is now threatening to change the world's climate. The super-duper El Niño is rapidly strengthening, and ocean temperatures are expected to reach up to 3.7 degrees above normal between October and December.
“El Niño” could reach its peak in December and raise the risk of extreme heat, as well as lead to more rain in several regions of the world.
<p>The world is bracing for a record-breaking El Niño — scientists have warned of extreme heat, flooding and economic losses El Niño could become the most powerful in history, causing heat, droughts and floods. The previous phenomenon has cost the world economy $4 trillion</p>
El Niño strengthens to highest category with 70% chance of record-breaking winter, new report says
A major update from the Climate Prediction Center shows a "very strong" El Niño now has a 70% chance of exceeding all previous ones on record as it continues to strengthen through the winter. Northern California could see double its normal monthly rainfall for either December, January or February.
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