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NOAA Gives El Niño an 83% Chance of Reaching Historic Strength in Late 2026

El Niño strengthened further across the equatorial Pacific in September 2026, and NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center (CPC) said on October 8 that the October–December Relative Oceanic Niño Index (RONI) has an 83% chance of reaching at least +2.5°C (+4.5°F)—a level that would exceed previous El Niño events in its record dating to 1950. The World Meteorological Organization (WMO) separately forecast a Niño-3.4 anomaly of approximately +3.7°C (+6.7°F…

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A rapid change in the conditions of the Equatorial Pacific Ocean draws the attention of experts from all over the world.In just four months, the region left a scene from La Niña to an El Niño of record intensity, with an expressive rise in sea surface temperatures.According to data released by MetSul Meteorology, the Niño Region 3.4, used as one of the main references to monitor the phenomenon, had an anomaly of -0.7oC in early 2026. Currently, …

Forbes, the world's most conceptualized business and economic magazine. With peak projected for December, climate phenomenon must maintain high intensity and extend effects until early 2027 The post El Niño Probability History until early 2027 Passes 83%, Diz Agence Americana apareceu primeiro em Forbes Brasil.

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ghafla.co.ke broke the news on Thursday, October 8, 2026.
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