NATO 5% pledge to add $63B to deficit by 2035, budget watchdog says
The Parliamentary Budget Office warns Canada must increase defence spending by $33.5 billion annually to meet NATO's 5% GDP target, raising the deficit by $63 billion by 2035.
- On Feb. 5, 2026, the Parliamentary Budget Office warned the federal budget deficit will rise by $63 billion in 2035-36, due to defence spending plans.
- Last year, NATO members agreed to a five per cent defence target—3.5 per cent for militaries and 1.5 per cent for infrastructure—and Prime Minister Mark Carney pledged at the 2025 NATO leaders summit to meet it.
- The analysis estimates meeting core 3.5 per cent military spending will require $33.5 billion per year and increase the federal debt-to-GDP ratio by 6.3 percentage points by 2035.
- The Parliamentary Budget Office criticized the Government of Canada for not publishing supporting projection data and said the Department of National Defence rebuffed its request for a year-by-year spending path.
- That contrasts with earlier government estimates, as DND pointed to NATO-based $150 billion and $60 billion mappings, while senior federal officials cited $150 billion total costs.
29 Articles
29 Articles
Meeting NATO’s 5 Percent Spending Target Could Add $63B to Deficit, PBO Says
Canada’s Parliamentary Budget Officer says meeting NATO’s defence spending target of 5 percent of GDP will add $63 billion to Canada’s federal budget deficit by 2035. Parliamentary Budget Officer (PBO) Jason Jacques noted in his Feb. 5 report that the government has not published projections on how it will meet the 5 percent target, but estimated the cost will amount to approximately $33.5 billion per year over the next 10 years. That analysis p…
The increase in defence spending to meet the NATO target is expected to add $63 billion to the deficit by 2035, says the Parliamentary Budget Officer.
Fiscal watchdog warns defence targets will mean soaring deficits
OTTAWA — Canada’s fiscal watchdog projects that the Carney government’s commitment to increase defence spending to at least 5 per cent of the economy will increase the federal deficit by $63 billion a year over the next decade, almost twice what the deficit is currently expected to average over the next few years. In a new report published Thursday, Jason Jacques, the interim Parliamentary Budget Officer (PBO), said the fiscal effect of meetin…
NATO's new defence target could add $63B to federal deficit, PBO warns
The Parliamentary Budget Office estimates the federal Defence Department budget will have to increase by $33.5 billion annually in order for Canada to meet NATO's revised defence spending targets. The watchdog also estimates that the higher defence spending could lead to substantially higher federal deficits.
NATO 5% pledge to hike deficit by $63B by 2035, budget watchdog says
The parliamentary spending watchdog says Prime Minister Mark Carney’s plan to spend the equivalent of five per cent of GDP on defence by 2035 will push the federal budget deficit up by $63 billion in 2035.
Coverage Details
Bias Distribution
- 73% of the sources lean Left
Factuality
To view factuality data please Upgrade to Premium















