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Visualizing 30 Years of Rare Earth Production, by Country

China controls 92% of rare-earth refining and 98% of magnet production, giving it strategic leverage that the West will take about 10 years to challenge, Goldman Sachs says.

  • This past week, Goldman Sachs warned the West may need a decade to loosen China’s grip on rare earths, as China controls roughly 92% of refining and 98% of magnet manufacturing.
  • Historically, China's share of rare earth oxide mine output climbed from around 47% to almost 70% , reinforcing its market dominance, as rare earth elements are a geopolitically sensitive group of 17 metals with a market roughly 33 times smaller than copper.
  • Markets reacted with rallies in U.S.-listed miners this year as Western governments pledged billions in recent years and President Donald Trump sealed deals over 10 days with Australia, Malaysia, Cambodia and Japan.
  • Beijing's export controls are due to take effect on November 8, just days before a 90-day trade truce with Washington expires, while President Donald Trump is expected to meet Chinese leader Xi Jinping on Thursday.
  • Goldman Sachs' findings indicate that efforts to diversify and reshore production will be costly and take years, with refineries estimated to need about five years to build, and reserves outside Myanmar and China considered 'very scarce' for some elements.
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Goldman Sachs warned the West that it could take up to 10 years to challenge China's dominance in rare earth metals.

China's control over rare metals is so strong that it could take a decade for the West to challenge the Asian giant's dominance over these critical minerals, according to Goldman Sachs."China's dominance is really huge," says Daan Struyven, Goldman's co-director of global raw material research, in a podcast released on Tuesday.He points out that about 92% of the world's rare mineral refining and 98% of the magnets made from these materials are m…

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Business Insider broke the news in United States on Wednesday, October 29, 2025.
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