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1.5°C Paris Climate Agreement target may be too high for polar ice sheets and sea level rise

  • Researchers reported on Tuesday that global sea levels have risen twice as fast over the last three decades, driven by melting ice sheets and warming oceans.
  • This acceleration follows the quadrupling of ice loss from Greenland and West Antarctica since the 1990s amid current warming of about 1.2°C above pre-industrial levels.
  • Research suggests that by the year 2100, sea levels are projected to increase by approximately 40 to 80 centimeters, posing a significant risk to nearly 230 million people residing within one meter of current sea levels worldwide.
  • Professor Chris Stokes emphasized that even if global warming is limited to 1.5°C, the increase in sea levels is expected to speed up to a pace that will pose significant challenges for adaptation.
  • The findings imply that limiting warming closer to 1.0°C rather than 1.5°C is necessary to reduce ice loss and major challenges to coastal resilience and adaptation.
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Phys.org broke the news in United Kingdom on Tuesday, May 20, 2025.
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