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Windfall tax risks ‘killing off North Sea within years’

Reforming the windfall tax could unlock £137 billion and create 23,000 jobs by encouraging investment and securing the future of the North Sea oil and gas sector, industry leaders say.

  • Next year, Chancellor Rachel Reeves must consider reforming the Energy Profits Levy, urged by Offshore Energy UK at an Aberdeen conference, before its March 31, 2030 expiry.
  • OEUK argues the current levy is punitive, noting the windfall tax was raised to 38% from 35% effective November 1, 2024, and reform could unlock $185 billion, 23,000 jobs, and add over �137 billion to communities.
  • Modelling underpinning the proposal shows the Energy Profits Levy would become a permanent profit-based mechanism, lowering headline tax rates from 78% to 40% while still generating revenue when prices are high, with production projected to fall about 40% from 2025 levels within five years without reform.
  • OEUK cautioned that delaying change may raise £6bn short-term but accelerate North Sea decline, while the Scottish Government urged UK ministers to seek the earliest possible EPL end date and analyses say reform could boost jobs and energy security.
  • Analysis shows the UK needs between 10-15 billion barrels while producers are only lined up for about 4 billion; today, 85% of homes are gas-heated and around 23 million vehicles still rely on petrol and diesel.
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Bloomberg broke the news in United States on Sunday, August 31, 2025.
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