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Updated Atlantic Hurricane Season Forecast Released By CSU Experts

LARIMER COUNTY, COLORADO, AUG 6 – Colorado State University forecasts 16 named storms with 8 hurricanes and a 48% chance of a major hurricane landfall along the U.S. coast this season, driven by warm Atlantic waters and neutral El Niño conditions.

  • Published Wednesday in Boulder, Colo., CSU experts maintained that an above-average Atlantic hurricane season is still forecasted, noting lower-than-normal confidence due to Caribbean shear.
  • Forecasters said that sea-surface temperatures in the eastern and central tropical Atlantic have anomalously warmed over the past few weeks and are now somewhat warmer than normal, although not as warm as last year at this time.
  • In the latest numerical breakdown, CSU's tropical meteorology project team forecasted 16 named storms, including four already formed, with eight hurricanes and three major hurricanes.
  • According to the state-by-state assessment, Florida faces an 89% storm chance and a 61% hurricane probability, while Alabama has a 63% storm chance, 31% hurricane chance, and 9% major hurricane risk.
  • Forecasts indicate the season’s activity will peak on Sept. 10 before easing in October, with the peak around August and September, forecasted by experts.
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Above-normal activity predicted for remainder of 2025 Atlantic hurricane season, NOAA says

Above-normal activity is still expected for the remainder of hurricane season, according to NOAA's updated hurricane forecast.

·United States
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CBC News broke the news in Canada on Wednesday, August 6, 2025.
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