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What’s the cap on human energy expenditure? Elite athletes reveal ‘metabolic ceiling’

A study tracking 14 elite ultra-endurance athletes found their long-term energy burn maxes at about 2.5 times basal metabolic rate despite short bursts up to 7 times, researchers said.

  • On October 20, a study published in Current Biology reports even elite ultra-runners, cyclists and triathletes hit a metabolic ceiling that cannot be surpassed over prolonged periods.
  • To test the 2.5-times hypothesis, the researchers recruited a group of elite endurance athletes expected to challenge the proposed metabolic ceiling of 2.5 times BMR.
  • The researchers recruited 14 ultra-runners, cyclists and triathletes and followed them for a 52-week tracking period while tracing doubly labeled water with deuterium and oxygen-18 in urine isotope measurements to estimate CO2 output and calories burned.
  • Short-Term race data show athletes briefly burned six to seven times their BMR—about 7,000 to 9,000 calories per day—without sustained long-term exceedance.
  • Researchers found athletes compensated by reducing other energy use, warning that sustaining excess burn risks tissue breakdown and noting the small sample may miss outliers; future research should identify mechanisms.
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Lean Right

Ultra-permanent athletes perform maximum physical performance, but their energy also has a biological limit. Researchers now find that the calorie consumption of athletes does not exceed 2.5 times the basic turnover in the long term. The results shed a new light on the resilience of the human body.

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Lean Left

Expensive measurements on 14 ultra-runners and triathletes showed that they too can consume hardly more than 2.5 times their basic turnover of energy in the long run

·Vienna, Austria
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Nature broke the news in United Kingdom on Monday, October 20, 2025.
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