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What the Pacific ‘Blob’ + La Niña Means for Winter in the US

NOAA forecasts a weak La Nina likely to continue through early 2026 with a 75% chance, potentially influencing late hurricane season activity and winter weather patterns.

  • On Oct. 9, the Climate Prediction Center declared La Niña has officially arrived, confirmed by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration.
  • A La Niña forms when central Pacific Ocean cools by half a degree Celsius , influencing weather in Indonesia, the Philippines, parts of Australia, the Middle East, and eastern China.
  • Traditionally, La Niña reduces Atlantic wind shear, allowing more storms especially late and in the Caribbean; an average season sees 14 storms and seven hurricanes, though as of Oct. 8 there have been 10 named storms and four hurricanes.
  • Model forecasts show NOAA and Columbia University indicate this La Niña is likely weak and may disappear, with Michelle L'Heureux saying `There is a three out of four chance it will remain a weak event`.
  • With the season ending Nov. 30, forecasters note this La Niña could affect the 2025 hurricane season tail and a 1999 economic study found droughts cost U.S. agriculture $2.2 billion to $6.5 billion.
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51 Articles

East Bay TimesEast Bay Times
+3 Reposted by 3 other sources
Lean Left

La Niña is here: Is California heading for a dry winter?

Maybe. But it depends on where you live, history shows.

·Walnut Creek, United States
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arcamax.com broke the news in on Thursday, October 9, 2025.
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