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Asteroid 2024 YR4 Spared The Earth. What Happens if It Hits the Moon Instead in 2032?

Summary by slashdot.org
Remember asteroid 2024 YR4 (which at one point had a 1 in 32 chance of hitting Earth, before ending up at "impact probability zero")? CNN reports that asteroid is now "zooming beyond the reach of telescopes on its orbit around the sun." "But as scientists wait for it to reappear, its revised trajectory is now drawing attention to another possible target: the moon." The latest observations of the asteroid in early June, before YR4 disappeared fr…
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Asteroid 2024 YR4 will miss Earth, but may collide with the Moon: terms and threats to the planet named Asteroid 2024 YR4, discovered in late 2024, does not threaten Earth, but has a 1.7% probability of colliding with the Moon in 2032. This collision could create a crater up to 1 kilometer wide and cause a meteor shower on Earth.

·Kyiv, Ukraine
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Astronauts and infrastructure on lunar soil could be at risk if an asteroid hits the Moon.

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The Daily Galaxy broke the news in on Saturday, July 26, 2025.
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