US EditionWhat could happen if the US strikes Iran? Here are seven scenarios
US strikes on Iran could trigger regime collapse or military rule, risking regional conflict and disruption of global energy supplies, with 20-25% of oil exports passing through the Strait of Hormuz.
- The US appears poised to strike Iran within days if no last-minute deal is reached, as analysts warn President Donald Trump has amassed forces and may act to avoid losing face.
- The Islamic Republic leadership, which has endured for 47 years, survives because Iranian protesters face no significant defections and a pervasive security deep state supports the regime.
- Military planners warn of 'swarm' attacks combining explosive drones and fast boats, while US air and naval forces could strike IRGC and Basij bases, missile sites, and nuclear facilities.
- Iran could respond by mining the Gulf, which would imperil shipping through the Strait of Hormuz and risk disrupting global shipping and energy flows, while a successful swarm attack could sink a US warship and capture survivors.
- One possible worst-case is that the regime collapses and is replaced by military rule, a prospect neighbours fear could trigger a humanitarian and refugee crisis affecting around 93 million people, or the Islamic Republic could survive but moderate its policies.
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MAINTENANCE - "Several options are being considered", says IFRI's researcher, who mentions, among other things, a "maritime block" aimed at preventing Iranian oil exports, particularly to China, or "targeted military strikes".
Is the United States really ready to attack Iran? Tensions between the two countries are rising, with Tehran vowing to retaliate with unprecedented force if the United States attacks. US President Donald Trump is demanding that Iran sign a new nuclear deal and warning: "There's another great army sailing towards Iran." And what could happen if the US does attack?
The BBC analyzes what developments could trigger a new American strike on Iran
The United States seems ready to attack Iran within a few days. Although the potential gains are mostly predictable, the result is not. So if it does not reach a final agreement with Tehran and US President Donald Trump decides to...
The Pentagon and the White House have presented President Donald Trump with a range of scenarios for possible strikes on Iran, the Wall Street Journal reports. Among the options under consideration is a widespread bombing campaign against the Iranian regime and Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps facilities. US allies in the region have been trying to find a diplomatic solution to the dispute, but have so far been unsuccessful.
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