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US services activity flatlined in July, ISM data shows

UNITED STATES, AUG 5 – The ISM nonmanufacturing PMI edged down to 50.1 with employment falling to its lowest since March as tariffs raised input costs to the highest in nearly three years.

  • The US services sector unexpectedly stagnated in July, with the ISM nonmanufacturing PMI slipping to 50.1 from June's 50.8, indicating minimal growth.
  • This slowdown followed weak employment data released Friday and escalating tariff-related uncertainties, including import tax notices issued ahead of an August 1 deadline.
  • Survey respondents cited delayed purchasing plans due to tariff impacts and rising input costs, while export orders returned to contraction and employment contracted for the second month.
  • Steve Miller described the ongoing decline in employment and the increase in input costs as concerning trends, pointing out that tariffs are negatively affecting international trade, while the indicator measuring supplier prices reached its highest level in nearly three years.
  • The Federal Reserve maintained rates at 4.25%-4.50% last week, with some governors citing job market risks, and policymakers weighing inflation concerns amid a gradually slowing economy.
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Bankinter Market Consensus The ISM Services Disappointed in July 50.1 (vs 51.5 expected and 50.8 ant).Paid Prices went up to 69.9 (vs 66.5 expected and 67.5 ant.), New Orders down 50.3 (vs 51.3 ant) and Employment dropped to 46.4 (vs 47.2 ant.). Bankinter's analysis team opinion: The market continues to anticipate that the Fed will lower rates at its next Sept-25 meeting. In line with the weak unemployment data from last Friday, [...]

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xtrememarkets.com broke the news in on Tuesday, August 5, 2025.
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