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India sees 6.8%-7.2% growth next year, flags risks from geopolitics, weak exports

The Economic Survey raises medium-term growth potential to 7.0% and warns of risks from US tariffs and global trade uncertainties affecting exports and the rupee.

  • India's GDP growth is projected between 6.8% and 7.2% for fiscal year 2026-27, according to the Economic Survey for 2025-26.
  • The Indian rupee hit a record low of Rs 92 against the US dollar, influenced by trade deficits and global uncertainties.
  • India has a trade deficit in goods, while net surpluses in services and remittances fail to stabilize the rupee, as reported in the Economic Survey.
  • Despite challenges, India's economic fundamentals remain strong with contained inflation and growth potential.
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Times of India broke the news in India on Tuesday, January 27, 2026.
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