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UK economy unexpectedly shrinks by 0.1% ahead of budget, data shows

The U.K. economy shrank 0.1% for the second month as uncertainty before the Autumn Budget deterred investment despite a 1.1% yearly growth, the Office for National Statistics said.

  • Data released earlier Friday by the Office for National Statistics showed the U.K. economy fell by 0.1% in October, matching September's decline and missing the 0.1% growth expected.
  • Amid pre-budget caution, uncertainty ahead of the Autumn budget by Chancellor Rachel Reeves likely deterred businesses and consumers, with firms including manufacturers and real estate firms waiting for the budget outcome.
  • After Jaguar Land Rover factories reopened, the production and manufacturing sector rose 1.1%, but construction sector activity fell 0.6%.
  • The Confederation of British Industry raised its growth forecast to 1.3% next year and revised this year to 1.4%, but CBI chief economist Louise Hellem said the tone was cautious optimism.
  • With the Bank of England meeting next week, the BOE is widely expected to cut interest rates to 3.75%, and Deutsche Bank analysts have trimmed Q4 growth forecasts from 0.2 to 0.1% as inflation eased to 3.6%.
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Business Times broke the news in on Friday, December 12, 2025.
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