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UK economy records surprise 0.3% growth in first month of the Iran war

Services, construction and manufacturing lifted output as economists warned the Iran war could slow growth later this year.

  • The Office for National Statistics reported Thursday that the British economy grew 0.6% in the first quarter, matching economist expectations, with March Gross Domestic Product rising 0.3% led by services sector gains.
  • Amid the Iran war, global energy supply chains face severe strain because around 20% of world oil and gas transits the Strait of Hormuz, driving up fuel costs for the UK economy.
  • Prime Minister Keir Starmer faces leadership challenges from over 90 Labour MPs calling for his resignation, while bond market borrowing costs for the 10-year gilt rose to over 5% earlier this week.
  • Chancellor Rachel Reeves urged Labour MPs not to destabilize the economy, stating "Now is not the time to put our economic stability at risk." She emphasized the government "has the right economic plan."
  • The Bank of England is expected to hike interest rates this year, though Ruth Gregory, deputy chief UK economist at Capital Economics, warned that Q1 growth "will be the high point for the year" as Iran war effects dampen future quarters.
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Share Talk broke the news on Wednesday, May 13, 2026.
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