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UK ‘could add an Edinburgh every year’ with net migration set to exceed forecast

  • Home Office officials warn the UK could absorb a population the size of Edinburgh each year due to rising net migration projections by 2028.
  • This projection follows record net migration levels, including 728,000 arrivals by June 2023, exceeding the government's stated annual target of 340,000.
  • Officials highlight modelling issues that overestimate emigration and overlook recent declines, while the Labour government plans immigration reforms responding to public concern.
  • Migration Advisory Committee chair Brian Bell said, "I think the problem is we've focused on the wrong thing," referring to short-term fiscal impact concerns.
  • If current trends continue without reforms, the UK risks significant population growth from migration, which could affect economic and public service planning.
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The Times broke the news in United Kingdom on Friday, May 9, 2025.
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