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‘Purgatory:’ Fed Officials Left in Limbo as Tariffs Complicate This Week’s Rate Decision

  • Federal Reserve officials held a two-day policy meeting from June 17-18, 2025, in Washington, expected to keep interest rates steady at 4.25-4.5%.
  • The meeting occurred amid uncertainty driven by trade tariffs imposed earlier by the Trump administration and a methodology shift last year from phone to web-based surveys affecting inflation expectations data.
  • Officials face mixed signals: inflation is at 2.1%, near the Fed’s 2% target, unemployment remains historically low at 4.2%, yet inflation expectations show dramatic disparities and global tensions add to uncertainty.
  • Fed Governor Christopher Waller noted significant inconsistencies in measures of inflation expectations, while last week Trump criticized the Fed chair, labeling him a "numbskull" for not lowering interest rates.
  • The Fed is widely expected to hold rates now but may cut its key rate twice in 2025 after quarterly projections signal accelerating inflation and a slight rise in unemployment.
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Associated Press NewsAssociated Press News
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'Purgatory:' Fed officials left in limbo as tariffs complicate this week's rate decision

The U.S. economy is mostly in good shape but that isn’t saving Federal Reserve chair Jerome Powell from a spell of angst.

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Times Tabloid broke the news in on Sunday, June 15, 2025.
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