UN sees higher global warming, even in best-case scenario
The report says even full climate pledges would still leave the world on track for 2.6°C warming and require deeper emissions cuts.
- On Wednesday, the United Nations Environment Programme released its annual Emissions Gap Report 2026, finding that exceeding the Paris Climate Agreement's 1.5-degree Celsius warming target is now "imminent and unavoidable."
- Current government policies track toward about 2.8 degrees Celsius warming, with projections deteriorating since last year partly because of the United States' withdrawal from the Paris Agreement.
- Global greenhouse gas emissions must fall 18% by 2030, 45% by 2035, and 69% by 2040 to keep warming to the lowest achievable overshoot, while coal-fired electricity generation requires a 75% reduction by 2035.
- UN Secretary-General Antonio Guterres characterized the findings as a "leadership gap," asserting that "overshoot is not surrender" while urging nations to urgently implement fast, deep emissions reductions.
- With COP31 approaching next month in Antalya, Turkey, delegates face findings that returning temperatures to 1.5 degrees Celsius depends on large-scale carbon removal, the feasibility of which remains uncertain.
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98 Articles
'Pull out all the stops': UN lays out path to limiting global warming
“Every additional fraction of a degree and additional year of warming above 1.5°C increases climate impacts and risks, such as the deadly floods, heatwaves and wildfires that have plagued many nations this year”.
Prema novim procjenama, globalno zagrijavanje premašit će prethodna predviđanja, pri čemu čak i najoptimističniji scenarij predviđa porast prosječne temperature za 1,7 do 1,8 stupnjeva Celzija iznad predindustrijskih razina do sredine stoljeća, pokazalo je izvješće UN-a objavljeno u srijedu. […] Objava Noveklimatske prognoze UN-a: 'Čak ni najoptimističniji scenarij više ne predviđa ostanak na 1,5 stupnjeva' pojavila se prvi puta na Novi list.
The UN expects global warming of 2.8 degrees Celsius by 2100. The US's withdrawal from climate protection is worsening its prospects.
Zeit Online
In an annual report released this Wednesday, the United Nations Environment Programme (UNEP) is working on the "overshoot" hypothesis that humanity will be able to bring down global mercury after temporarily exceeding 1.5°C of warming, a risky trajectory that requires enormous efforts to reduce greenhouse gases.
The Earth is expected to warm up by 2.8 degrees by the end of the century compared to pre-industrial times. The original target of 1.5 degrees has already been exceeded. The deterioration of the forecast is also due to the total withdrawal of the USA from climate protection.
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