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UK inflation rises by more than expected to 3.5% as war drives up fuel prices
Motor fuel and household energy costs pushed inflation to a one-year high, above economists’ 3.4% forecast, the Office for National Statistics said.
The Consumer Prices Index rose to 3.5% in September from 3.1%, according to the Office for National Statistics, marking the highest annual inflation rate in 12 months.
Conflicts in the Middle East and Europe squeezed global oil supplies, driving petrol and diesel prices sharply higher, with average diesel surpassing £2 a litre this month, according to RAC figures.
Rob Wood and Elliott Jordan-Doak, UK economists for Pantheon, attributed the surge to higher motor fuel costs, while the end of a temporary summer VAT cut also contributed to rising prices.
The price acceleration ahead of John Healey's first Budget cemented expectations for a Monetary Policy Committee interest rate hike, reversing the Bank of England's prior easing cycle.
September's reading continues an upward inflation trend in Britain, following earlier prints of 2.9% and 3.1%, as energy shocks have driven overall price pressures throughout the summer.
The surge in fuel prices, due to the crisis in the Middle East and problems in oil transport through the Strait of Hormuz, is intensifying pressures on the British economy.