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There is no easy way for Canada to de-escalate the trade war

  • Amidst a federal election, Canada launched an advertising campaign in the U.S. On Friday with the slogan "Tariffs are a tax on hardworking Americans" as part of its response to trade tensions.
  • These trade tensions stem from U.S. Tariffs on Canadian exports and subsequent Canadian retaliatory tariffs, leading to threats of escalating measures from the White House and a weakening U.S. Economy.
  • Canada's retaliatory strategy includes dollar-for-dollar tariffs and potential leverage of exports like electricity, aluminum, oil, and gas, while also exploring new markets for its top exports like minerals, metals, and agri-food products, as identified by Export Development Canada.
  • Liberal Leader Mark Carney stated at a campaign stop that "President Trump wants to break us so America can own us," while experts like Russell Williams note that Trump's approach to trade disputes resembles early 20th-century politics, further complicated by just-in-time supply chains, and Bank of Canada Governor Tiff Macklem acknowledged that economic uncertainty has reached levels unseen since the 1930s.
  • With approximately 80% of Canadians supporting retaliation and 40% viewing Trump's economic aggression as a top issue, the next Canadian government faces the challenge of resolving the trade conflict, though experts suggest de-escalation is difficult due to the current political climate and the complexities of the integrated economies, emphasizing that avoiding a "Zelenskyy moment" is crucial for Canadian leadership.
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The Globe & Mail broke the news in Canada on Tuesday, March 25, 2025.
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