Recession Could Originate At The Port Of Los Angeles, Warns Economist, Calling Tariff Decision A 'Misapplied Consumption Tax' On Households
- In early May 2025, the Port of Los Angeles experienced a 35% decline in cargo ship arrivals compared to last year due to new tariffs on Chinese imports.
- These declines follow tariff increases implemented in April, which led businesses to front-load orders in the first quarter to avoid higher costs.
- As stockpiled goods run low, import volumes have dropped sharply, with some forecasts projecting a 75% to 80% decrease in imports from China later in 2025.
- Gene Seroka explained that the current incoming cargo ships are the initial shipments affected by the tariffs imposed on China and other regions in the previous month, highlighting the immediate impact on trade.
- Economists warn that continued tariffs could cause supply shortages, higher prices, reduced trade volumes, and possible job losses, potentially triggering a recession starting at the ports.
14 Articles
14 Articles
Port of Los Angeles Sees Drop in Cargo Ship Arrivals
The Port of Los Angeles, the nation’s busiest container port, is expecting a decline in container shipments compared with last year, and the data is beginning to reflect that. Experts are concerned about potential layoffs as a result. According to Capt. Kit Louttit, executive director of the Marine Exchange of Southern California, which keeps records of ships arriving and departing throughout the region, 22 ships arrived at the neighboring Los A…
Recession Could Originate At The Port Of Los Angeles, Warns Economist, Calling Tariff Decision A 'Misapplied Consumption Tax' On Households
In a recent note, RSM chief economist Joseph Brusuelas has warned of a potential tariff-induced recession, which could begin on the coast, leading to increased inflation and unemployment. What Happened: Brusuelas expressed concern that inconsistent tariff policies could set off a recession, originating from the Los Angeles docks. About 22% of U.S. jobs are tied to transportation, warehousing, and trade, making import container volumes at Los Ang…


The first boats carrying Chinese goods with 145% tariffs are arriving in LA. Shipments are cut in half. Expect shortages soon
(CNN) — American consumers are on the cusp of tough choices because of President Donald Trump’s trade war.Ships now pulling into US harbors from China are the first to be subject to the massive tariffs that America is imposing on most Chinese imports. That means, in a matter of weeks, consumers will face higher prices and shortages of certain items.Imports from China have fallen dramatically since Trump imposed steep tariffs – particularly since…
Southern California’s Industrial Market Plays an Anxious Waiting Game
In 2024, the bustling Port of Los Angeles processed 10.2 million shipping containers, the boat-born boxes that carry the goods of global trade. Measured via a stat called TEUs, the annual haul was the second-most in the port’s history and a 20 percent jump from the year before. This May, port watchers expect the harbor to be relatively quiet, as President Donald Trump’s tariffs — now 145 percent on Chinese goods — tank shipping volumes. The las…
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