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Support for Albanese plummets after muddled response to Bondi attack

Labor's primary vote fell to 30%, its lowest since February 2025, while One Nation surged to a record 22%, overtaking the Coalition amid voter dissatisfaction post-Bondi attack.

  • On Monday, Pauline Hanson, One Nation leader, saw her party poll at 22% ahead of the Coalition on 21% in Newspoll, marking the first time One Nation has outpolled the Coalition.
  • Following the Bondi attack, voters cited the government's mishandling and mixed messaging, causing Labor's primary vote to slump to 30% during the poll period between January 12 and 18.
  • Survey mechanics — a 1,800-sample poll with a 2.3-point margin — confirm that 42% now prefer parties other than Labor or the Coalition, with One Nation at 18%.
  • The Newspoll result places pressure on Opposition Leader Sussan Ley as her party's standing weakens against a rising One Nation, while Barnaby Joyce, erstwhile deputy prime minister, defected to One Nation, becoming its sole lower-house representative.
  • Nearly half of voters now back minor parties or independents, and One Nation's clearer stance on immigration, net zero and gun reform complicates the government's split legislation on gun laws and hate speech.
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Bias Distribution

  • 34% of the sources lean Left, 33% of the sources are Center, 33% of the sources lean Right
34% Left

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Sydney Morning Herald broke the news in Sydney, Australia on Sunday, January 18, 2026.
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