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NOAA Maintains Prediction for Below-Normal Atlantic Hurricane Season
Forecasters now expect 7 to 13 named storms, citing stronger El Niño-driven wind shear and dry air across the Atlantic basin.
- On Thursday, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration lowered its Atlantic hurricane projections, now forecasting 7-13 named storms with a 75% chance of below-normal activity.
- Strengthening El Niño conditions over the Pacific Ocean are causing enhanced vertical wind shear, which NOAA hurricane forecaster Matt Rosencrans said is the "dominant factor" suppressing storm development.
- Experts from Colorado State University released a similar outlook Wednesday, forecasting 9 named storms and a "well-below average probability" for major hurricane landfalls on the U.S. coast.
- The most dangerous portion of the hurricane season remains ahead, as more than 85% of tropical cyclone activity occurs from August through October before the season ends November 30.
- Despite the favorable outlook, National Weather Service Director Ken Graham emphasized that "it only takes one" storm to create a devastating season, as inland rainfall causes major damage.
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Strengthening El Nino shaping hurricane season, major research groups release updated outlooks
Both Colorado State University and NOAA have updated their mid-season hurricane outlooks, and both are calling for below-normal activity in the Atlantic basin.The main driver behind the quieter forecast is a strengthening El Niño. The Storm Station Weather Team has been covering this for weeks and says it's expected to be one of the strongest on record.El Niño ramps up wind shear across the Atlantic hurricane basin, which tends to tear apart dev…
·Baton Rouge, United States
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The head of Meteorology at NotiCentro explained the current scenario for the season and what we could expect in the coming months.
Coverage Details
Total News Sources15
Leaning Left5Leaning Right1Center6Last UpdatedBias Distribution50% Center
Bias Distribution
- 50% of the sources are Center
50% Center
L 42%
C 50%
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