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10-year Treasury yield leaps to fresh 19-year high after hot economic readings

  • On Wednesday, September 23, 2026, US shares dropped while the benchmark 10-year Treasury yield jumped to 5.054%, its highest level since 2007, after data showed business activity accelerated to a more than five-year high.
  • S&P Global reported the flash US Composite PMI Output Index increased to 58.4 this month, its highest level since July 2021, fueling expectations for further Federal Reserve interest rate hikes.
  • Fed funds futures traders are now pricing in 73% odds of an October rate hike, while the interest-rate sensitive 2-year Treasury yield rose to 4.862%, marking its highest level since June 2024.
  • Higher interest rate expectations pushed the dollar to multi-week highs against the euro, which dropped 0.5% to $1.1389, as analysts noted the data underscores the Federal Reserve's hawkish policy stance.
  • Brent crude oil futures for November delivery fell 0.8% to $98.49 a barrel, marking the longest losing streak since August 2025, as markets balance economic data against ongoing geopolitical uncertainties.
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Wolf Street broke the news on Saturday, September 19, 2026.
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