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U.S. Bond Yields Surge Above 5% as Rate-Hike Expectations Rise

A weak five-year auction and stronger business activity lifted rate-hike bets, while the dollar rose and stocks fell across major indexes.

  • On Wednesday, US Treasury yields for nearly all notes and bonds climbed above 5% for the first time since 2007, with the five-year yield crossing that threshold for the first time in nearly two decades.
  • Robust economic data released Wednesday showed US business activity expanding at its fastest pace in over five years, prompting investors to price in an interest rate hike next month.
  • US stocks sank Wednesday following the yield spike, with the S&P 500 falling 0.8% and the Nasdaq composite dropping 1.1%; the US Treasury's $44 billion 7-year note auction saw the lowest demand since 2018.
  • Investors are diversifying away from expensive stocks to lock in returns on 'risk-free' assets, including 10-year TIPS offering a 2.78% real yield, the highest since 2008.
  • Chinese President Xi Jinping arrived in Washington on Thursday for a summit with President Donald Trump, while Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent indicated the US is open to extending the trade truce expiring November 10.
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Reuters broke the news in London, United Kingdom on Wednesday, September 23, 2026.
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