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Spanberger, Miyares Leading in Latest Poll | Oct. 30 Virginia Election Update

Abigail Spanberger leads Winsome Earle-Sears by 10 points in Virginia governor race, reflecting the state's Democratic shift ahead of the Nov. 4 election, according to Roanoke College poll.

  • On Thursday, Roanoke College's October poll showed Democrat Abigail Spanberger ahead 51% to 41% over Winsome Earle-Sears in a survey conducted Oct. 22 to Oct. 27.
  • Spanberger's centrist positioning and Virginia's shift toward Democrats have helped her maximize support, while Earle-Sears, aligned with President Donald Trump, must win independents to close the 10-point gap.
  • The poll surveyed 1,041 likely voters Oct. 22 to Oct. 27, with a margin of error +/- 4.05% and 4% undecided, Roanoke College found.
  • With Election Day on Tuesday, Nov. 4, the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the Virginia governor race as Likely Democratic and a critical test for 2026.
  • About 80% of likely voters have heard of the Jones scandal, but Pollster Nate Silver wrote it has not moved the needle upballot in the attorney general race.
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  • 55% of the sources are Center
55% Center

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Political Wire broke the news in New York, United States on Thursday, October 30, 2025.
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