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Space Stocks Extend Gains on Optimism Around SpaceX Public Debut (RDW:NYSE)
SpaceX's imminent IPO could lead to a fast-track Nasdaq-100 entry in just 15 days, driven by investor optimism over a $75 billion raise and $1.75 trillion valuation.
SpaceX is targeting a June 12 Nasdaq debut, seeking approximately $75 billion at a $1.75 trillion valuation in what could be the largest IPO in stock market history. Recent Nasdaq rule changes allow the company to enter the Nasdaq-100 after just 15 trading days.
Musk kept SpaceX private for decades, but a February 2026 merger with xAI at $1.25 trillion created a combined space-and-AI powerhouse. Strong investor appetite for both sectors, evidenced by Tesla shares soaring over 26,000% since their June 2010 IPO, accelerated the public offering timeline.
SpaceX's May 22 Starship test flight was largely successful, with the 407-foot rocket demonstrating progress toward full reusability for deep-space missions. 2025 consolidated revenue reached $18.67 billion, though first-quarter sales of $818 million grew just 12.5% year-over-year, trailing Anthropic's triple-digit gains.
IPO momentum has lifted smaller space-defense suppliers; Redwire secured a $15 million follow-on order from the U.S. Army Aviation Center of Excellence and announced a multi-year NATO contract valued in the high eight figures on May 19. Stock analysts upgraded Redwire to Buy with a $14.40 average price target.
At a near-94 price-to-sales ratio, SpaceX faces valuation concerns as analysts say ratios above 30 are unsustainable for high-growth stocks. An $8.65 billion accounting gap exists between 2025 adjusted EBITDA and the actual $4.94 billion net loss, driven by depreciation and $2 billion in share-based compensation.
Musk's two-billion-exchange route electrifies the markets. However, the real profits are not SpaceX itself – but European suppliers that are already making profits and are massively undervalued.