US EditionSherrill, Ciattarelli Neck-and-Neck in New Jersey Governor’s Race: Poll
Democratic nominee Mikie Sherrill leads Republican Jack Ciattarelli by about 5 points in recent polls as voter turnout remains historically low in New Jersey off-year elections.
- A2 Insights' new survey shows Rep. Mikie Sherrill leading 51.4 to 46.5 as early voting begins, with Election Day on Tuesday, Nov. 4.
- The state's off-year election system began in 1947 when Republican Governor Alfred E. Driscoll shifted New Jersey to avoid federal trends, shaping voter turnout today.
- Polling and market odds indicate Sherrill leads with a co/efficient poll showing 48% to 47%, while Polymarket and Kalshi give her 86% and 85% odds.
- Early voting has opened and 5% of voters remain undecided as Jack Ciattarelli, Republican nominee, runs with an endorsement from President Donald Trump.
- Off-Year contests shrink and shape electorates, with New Jersey's 2025 electorate roughly 1.7 million fewer voters and costly elections diverting tens of millions from other uses.
22 Articles
22 Articles
Trump Could Be Key to GOP Win in N.J. ‘Squeaker’ Race for Gov.
With five days to go before New Jerseyans elect a new governor, few — if any — are predicting a winner in the increasingly tight contest to succeed lame duck Democrat Gov. Phil Murphy. But more than a few observers believe the key to the outcome may well be someone who is not on the ballot but will have an impact on the race one way or another — President Donald Trump. The just-completed Emerson College Poll, released Wednesday, night showed Dem…
'VIRTUALLY TIED': Bombshell Poll Shakes Up Closely-Watched Governor's Race
New Jersey’s governor showdown is going down to the wire, and it’s a nail-biter. A fresh Emerson College survey shows Democratic Rep. Mikie Sherrill clinging to a razor-thin 49% to 48% lead over Republican Jack Ciattarelli, with just 3% still on the fence as the final votes loom. Pollsters say the Garden State is split straight down the middle — and the battle lines are drawn along gender. “Heading into Election Day, the gender divide in the gub…
Rep. Van Drew to Newsmax: Numbers, Momentum With Ciattarelli
The latest polling shows the gap closing between Rep. Mikie Sherrill, D-N.J., and Republican Jack Ciattarelli in the widely watched race for New Jersey governor, and Rep. Jeff Van Drew, R-N.J., told Newsmax on Thursday that "the momentum is with" Ciattarelli. "Let's look at four years ago when Jack Ciattarelli ran. He was 20 points back. And when the election actually took place and was over, he was within the margin of error," Van Drew said dur…
Emerson N.J. Poll: Ciattarelli, Sherrill Remain in Virtual Tie
An Emerson College poll released Thursday finds the 2025 race for governor of the Garden State locked in a virtual tie between Republican Jack Ciattarelli and Democrat Rep. Mikie Sherrill, D-N.J. The poll of approximately 1,000 likely voters taken Oct. 25-28 places Sherrill at 49% and Ciattarelli at 48% — well inside the ±3 point margin of error. Sherrill, a four-term U.S. representative from New Jersey's 11th Congressional District, gained earl…
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- 62% of the sources lean Right
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