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Scientists long ago envisioned the end of climate cooperation

  • Scientists long ago mapped out potential futures for global cooperation and greenhouse gas emissions, including a fragmented world scenario called SSP3.
  • This SSP3 scenario, characterized by rising nationalism, economic challenges, and regional conflicts, largely aligns with recent global developments but is not a perfect fit.
  • Keywan Riahi of IIASA coordinated the SSPs and noted the world is more fragmented now, with cooperation harder and economic prospects less optimistic, while climate tech has progressed.
  • In late May, the head of the European Central Bank observed that the global economy, previously sustained by openness and U.S. Leadership, is now breaking apart, while Mark Carney announced the end of an 80-year era of global trade.
  • Despite progress in clean energy, experts caution that global temperatures are very likely to exceed the Paris Agreement’s 1.5°C target, highlighting dangers associated with increasing division and sluggish economic development.
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Phys.orgPhys.org
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Scientists long ago envisioned the end of climate cooperation

They warned it could happen: a world of surging nationalism, stalling economic development and the unraveling of decades of international cooperation on climate change and other global challenges.

·United Kingdom
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They warned that this could happen: a world of the rise of nationalism, blocking economic development and the detangling of decades of international cooperation on climate change and other global challenges. Long before Donald Trump moved away from diplomatic standards and rule-based international order, [...]

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Phys.org broke the news in United Kingdom on Wednesday, June 4, 2025.
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