US EditionCity fires are likely to increase with climate change, modeling study warns
- A modeling study published in Nature Cities projects an increase in some types of fires in cities due to climate change in the coming decades.
- The study analyzed data from 2,847 cities in 20 countries and forecasts an 11.6% rise in vehicle fires and a 22.2% increase in outdoor fires by 2100 under a high greenhouse gas emission scenario.
- However, the study does not include data from Africa and South America, and its findings on vehicle fires may not reflect the shift towards electric vehicles.
16 Articles
16 Articles
Increasing fire risks in cities worldwide under warming climate
Anthropogenic warming is known to have influenced vegetation fires. However, how, or to what extent, a warming climate will impact urban fire frequency remains unknown. Here we quantify the shift in the frequency of various urban fire incident types in response to a warming climate using a global fire incidents database collected from 2,847 cities. We find that the frequency of building fires increases quadratically, and the minimum occurs at th…
City fires are likely to increase with climate change, modeling study warns
The frequency of some types of fires in cities as a result of climate change is projected to increase in the coming decades, according to a modeling study published in Nature Cities. The findings are based on data from 2,847 cities in 20 countries and could be useful for future urban planning and emergency response strategies.
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