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Reuters: How India's cooking fuel shortage is driving up California's gas prices
India’s LPG shortage is cutting alkylate exports, and analysts say the reduced supply could push California gasoline prices above $6.50.
The U.S.-Israeli war with Iran has disrupted global oil trade, with the Strait of Hormuz effectively closed to roughly one-fifth of global oil supply, manifesting in crises ranging from India's cooking gas shortages to California's escalating gasoline prices.
India, relying on the Middle East for more than 90% of LPG imports before the war, directed refiners to maximize domestic cooking fuel output. Reliance reduced alkylate exports to 33,000 barrels per day in April, roughly half of March's 61,000.
California's average retail motor fuel price reached $6.14 per gallon on Friday, with stockpiles near record lows. Nikhil Dubey, lead research analyst at Kpler, noted that mandated cleaner-burning summer gasoline blends raise costs above the $4.52 national average.
Mason Hamilton, chief economist for the American Petroleum Institute, stated: "With India's LPG supply constrained by the closure of the Strait of Hormuz, refiners there are producing and exporting less alkylate, adding pressure to an already tight California gasoline market."
Facing few options to stabilize prices, California Governor Gavin Newsom may consider waiving fuel specifications, though GasBuddy analyst Patrick De Haan warned: "You can't put more pressure on a system struggling under the existing weight on it.