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Republicans have "a lot to be worried about" in Texas GOP primary: CNN data analyst

Paxton leads GOP primary at 36%, but his legal and personal scandals could turn Texas Senate seat competitive, risking GOP majority and costly resource shifts, analysts say.

  • Senate Republicans warned that Ken Paxton's nomination could make the March 3 GOP primary in Texas competitive, risking a May runoff and jeopardizing the seat, the source states.
  • Ken Paxton's long-running legal troubles have included a 2023 Texas House of Representatives impeachment and sustained MAGA support despite scandals and a public divorce last year.
  • Republican donors have poured roughly $100 million into the primary as polling shows Ken Paxton at 36%, Sen. John Cornyn at 34%, and Rep. Wesley Hunt at 26%.
  • Sen. John Thune warned that if Cornyn loses, Republicans could spend hundreds of millions defending the seat, risking their 53-47 Senate control.
  • Amid lobbying from Senate Republicans for a Trump endorsement, `Bannon told Playbook` that the Trump team should have stayed out of the race, illustrating intra-GOP rifts.
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Bias Distribution

  • 86% of the sources lean Left
86% Left

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Politico broke the news in on Thursday, February 26, 2026.
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