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Polymarket Removes Nuclear Detonation Betting Market Amid Backlash

Polymarket removed its nuclear detonation prediction market amid suspicions of government insider trading and $650,000 in trades, prompting calls for regulatory action.

  • Overnight, Polymarket removed the detonation market allowing bets on nuclear strikes by March 31, June 30, or before 2027, with the webpage now stating `This event has been archived.`
  • After reports that an anonymous trader profited over $400,000, users on X voiced outrage following suspicious trades after Iran-related strikes and Ali Khamenei's killing.
  • Platform data show the 2025 contract recorded more than $1.7 Million in volume while a 2023 contract drew nearly $700,000, and an archived snapshot reported over $650,000 in volume as of Tuesday.
  • U.S. regulators are weighing oversight and rules as it remains unclear why Polymarket removed the market or whether users will receive refunds, and a Polymarket spokesperson did not respond.
  • Amid ethics concerns, bettors have long speculated on nuclear detonations, but Polymarket removed the market amid scrutiny over government insiders and prior armed-conflict markets.
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The crypto platform allowing to bet money on real events drains millions of dollars since the beginning of the war in Iran.

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Coin Desk broke the news in Manila, Philippines (the) on Wednesday, March 4, 2026.
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