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Graham, Andrews Neck and Neck in South Carolina Senate Race: Poll

The survey of 1,087 likely voters found 8.5% undecided and showed sharp age, gender and race splits.

  • On Saturday, a new Trafalgar Group poll indicated Republican Sen. Darline Graham leads Democratic Annie Andrews 43.4% to 42.3% in the South Carolina Senate race, a one-point lead within the 2.9-point margin of error.
  • Trafalgar Group surveyed 1,087 likely South Carolina voters from Sept. 23-25, reporting a 5.4% response rate and 95% confidence level using live calls, automated calls, text messages, emails and online platforms.
  • Gender lines reveal sharp splits: Graham leads men 53.2% to 33.5%, while Andrews leads women 49.6% to 35.3%; Andrews also holds a 50.1% to 31.5% advantage among Black voters.
  • Andrews leads voters younger than 50, receiving 59.7% support from ages 18 to 29, 52.4% from 30 to 39, and 51.6% from 40 to 49.
  • Republicans accounted for 59.1% of party participation, Democrats for 29.3%, and 11.6% had other affiliations; the electorate leans heavily toward older voters, with 36% aged 65-plus and 32.9% between 50 and 64.
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The Hill broke the news in Washington, United States on Sunday, September 27, 2026.
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